CHINA AND THE UNITED STATES ARE HEADING TOWARD A WAR NEITHER WANTS. The reason is Thucydides’s Trap, a deadly pattern of structural stress that results when a rising power challenges a ruling one. This phenomenon is as old as history itself. About the Peloponnesian War that devastated ancient Greece, the historian Thucydides explained: “It was the rise of Athens and the fear that this instilled in Sparta that made war inevitable.” Over the past 500 years, these conditions have occurred sixteen times. War broke out in twelve of them. Today, as an unstoppable China approaches an immovable America and both Xi Jinping and Donald Trump promise to make their countries “great again,” the seventeenth case looks grim. Unless China is willing to scale back its ambitions or Washington can accept becoming number two in the Pacific, a trade conflict, cyberattack, or accident at sea could soon escalate into all-out war. In Destined for War, the eminent Harvard scholar Graham Allison explains why Thucydides’s Trap is the best lens for understanding U.S.-China relations in the twenty-first century. Through uncanny historical parallels and war scenarios, he shows how close we are to the unthinkable. Yet, stressing that war is not inevitable, Allison also reveals how clashing powers have kept the peace in the past — and what painful steps the United States and China must take to avoid disaster today.
See entry about Thucydides Thucydides
Two pieces shared by Tom Igoe
Graham-Allison-Opinion-in-Weekend-Financial-Times
The-Crisis-in-U.S.-China-Relations-WSJ.pdf
The Truth About the Liberal Order
Dynamic growth of China’s GDP.
Born (1937and Educated in South Africa with a BA Business degree.
Bob Plunkett was born in Milwaukee, Wis., in 1962 and grew up in River Hills, Wis. He graduated from University School of Milwaukee in 1980, where he was active in track and field, cross country and the chess club. He graduated from Cornell University with a B.A. in economics in 1984, where he was on the cross-country team and participated in some marathon running. Bob continued his studies at Cornell, where he received his M.B.A. from the Johnson Graduate School of Management in 1988 while also working with the Old Ezra Investment Club and the hockey team. His work history began in 1988 with Metropolitan Life in New York City in investments. In 1995, he relocated to Stamford with GE Asset Management and in 2016 joined JPMorgan Chase in Fairfield in relationship banking. Bob and his wife Karen live in Darien and have four children, two living nearby, one in college and one in high school. He is a member of the CFA Institute and CFA Society of Stamford, served on the board and was vice president of investments on the executive board of the Darien Nature Center. He is a former member of the Noroton Yacht Club and Middlesex Club, and served as tribal chief of the Darien YMCA Guides. For leisure, Bob enjoys travel, reading, investments and hiking. Sponsored by Bryan Hooper.

David Mace was born in Springfield, Massachusetts, and is a graduate of Amherst College, 1960 and the University of Virginia Law School, 1964. He began practicing law in New York City with the firm of Cadwalader, Wickersham and Taft. In 1966 he joined Irving Trust Company as General Counsel. Mr. Mace was elected President of Irving Trust in 1984 and retired from the bank in 1990 following the merger with Bank of New York.
Bryan Hooper was born in 1941 in Newcastle-upon-Tyne and brought up in London, England. He attended Christ’s Hospital school and then the Royal College of Science at Imperial College of Science and Technology, London University, graduating in 1963 with BSc and ARCS degrees.
Tom was born and raised in Philadelphia where he attended the William Penn Charter School.
Tom Haack was born September 5, 1945 in Sanford. Maine but grew up through high school in Wisconsin. He graduated from Williams College in 1967 with a B.A degree, cum laude and with honors in economics. After serving as a LTJG on an LST homeported in San Diego, Tom graduated from the Stanford University Business School in 1972 with his M.B.A. He started his career in investment banking at Merrill Lynch in New York, but he left in 1974 to take a position in the banking department of Lazard where his career spanned 48 1/2 years at that firm until his retirement on June 30, 2023. As a General Partner and Managing Director of Lazard since 1983, Tom’s portfolio of activity included assignments in corporate finance involving mergers and acquisitions, financial restructurings and bankruptcies, capital markets operations, and international finance.

balance. Experienced hikers will find this hike in the rustic wilderness most enjoyable.

Richard Hyman will be sharing stories and photographs about his time working for the famed Captain Jacques-Yves Cousteau.
Stories about life aboard Calypso and Cousteau, once one of the most recognized names in the world, should interest most everybody, particularly adventurers, Denver fans, divers, environmentalists, photographers, travel buffs, and videographers.